Advancements in Earthquake Cycle Deformation Research Based on Geodetic Observations
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Graphical Abstract
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Abstract
The deformation response models of earthquake cycle play a crucial role in studying the entire dynamic process of earthquakes, from inception, nucleation and rupture, to postseismic adjustments, as well as in exploring the rheological properties of Earth's crust and mantle. They have significant implications in earthquake prediction, forecasting, seismic hazard mitigation and risk assessment. First, this paper introduces the characteristics of deformation during the interseismic phase of the earthquake cycle. It categorizes and summarizes the corresponding models from the perspectives of dimensionality and elastic-viscoelastic models, and it elaborates on the characteristics, limitations and historical evolution of simulation methods for coseismic deformation, with a particular focus on mainstream approaches for determining the geometry of coseismic faults and selecting smoothing schemes. Then, this paper discusses the spatiotemporal evolution features of postseismic deformation, and categorizes them according to deformation mechanisms, including poroelastic rebound, viscoelastic relaxation and postseismic afterslip. It also outlines the characteristics and limitations of simulation methods for deformation phenomena and provides a classification summary of current mainstream postseismic combined models. Furthermore, this paper explores the opportunities and challenges faced by earthquake cycle deformation simulation methods in the rapidly accumulating data environment. It emphasizes the importance of three-dimensional viscoelastic models, consi-dering the viscoelastic relaxation effects of Earth's crust and mantle. Finally, this paper offers prospects for future research directions, including single-fault earthquake cycle deformation simulation, postseismic mechanisms, dynamic modeling and interpretation of possible earthquake cycle deformation phenomena.
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