中国香港验潮站1962?2017年水位相对变化分析

Analysis of Relative Water Level Variations in Hong Kong, China from 1962 to 2017

  • 摘要: 利用1962-2017年验潮站水位观测数据,对中国香港的海平面、潮汐调和常数等水位变化特征量进行了确定与统计分析。结果显示,香港海域验潮站海平面相对变化速率差异明显。1962-2017年间,鲗鱼涌站长周期分潮逐年调和分析结果稳定性差,除数据质量的因素外,厄尔尼诺显现对长周期分潮的变化有影响作用;全日潮与半日潮分潮调和常数较稳定,但在2004-2008年间M2O1K1分潮振幅小于往年,分析表明与潮差变化一致;理论最低潮面与最低天文潮面均呈上升的变化趋势,变化速率分别为0.18 mm/a、0.27 mm/a, 香港目前使用的海图基准较理论最低潮面和最低天文潮面相对保守。

     

    Abstract: Utilizing the data of water level, observed by tide gauges in Hong Kong, China from 1962? 2017, the variation of sea level, tidal harmonic constants and other character values of water level in the sea area are determined and analyzed in this paper. The results show that the average changing rate of mean sea level is 1.06mm/a, however, both the trend and scale of each tide gauge's mean sea level changing rate are different. For example, the rate of Chi Ma Wan is (-3.85 ± 0.61) mm/a, while the rate of Waglan Island is (4.12 ± 0.76) mm/a and the the rate of Tsim Bei Tsui is (0.32 ± 0.32) mm/a. From 1962 to 2017, Sa and Ssa of Quarry Bay, calculated annually, have poor stability, and the changing trends of harmonic constants of shallow water constituents are obvious relatively. Diurnal and semidiurnal constituents are nearly stable, but in 2004―2008 the amplitudes of M2, O1 and K1 vary from other years. The level of lowest normal low water and lowest astronomical tide increase in the rate of 0.18 mm/a and 0.27 mm/a respectively.

     

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