LIU Jian, WANG Qijie, ZHANG Hao. Prediction of LOD Change Based on the LS and AR Model with Edge Effect Corrected[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2013, 38(8): 916-919.
Citation: LIU Jian, WANG Qijie, ZHANG Hao. Prediction of LOD Change Based on the LS and AR Model with Edge Effect Corrected[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2013, 38(8): 916-919.

Prediction of LOD Change Based on the LS and AR Model with Edge Effect Corrected

Funds: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(U1231105,10878026); 国家863计划资助项目(2012AA121301)
More Information
  • Received Date: May 04, 2013
  • Revised Date: May 04, 2013
  • Published Date: August 04, 2013
  • Aiming to resolve the edge effect in the process of predicting length of day(LOD) by the least squares and autoregressive(LS+AR) model,we employed a time series analysis model to extrapolate LOD series and produce a new series.Then,we used the new series to solve the coefficients for the LS model.At last,we used the LS+AR model to predict the LOD series again.By comparing the accuracy of LOD prediction by edge-effect corrected LS+AR and that by LS+AR,we conclude that edge-effect corrected LS+AR can improve the prediction accuracy,especially for medium-term and long-term predictions.
  • [1]
    王琪洁廖德春,周永宏,廖新浩,. 大气角动量函数在日长变化非线性预报中的重要作用[J]. 天文学报. 2008(01)[2] 江敏钟敏,闫昊明,. 1950~2003年日长近120天准周期振荡和厄尔尼诺现象[J]. 武汉大学学报(信息科学版). 2003(06)[3] 张昊王琪洁,朱建军,张晓红,. 对钱德勒参数进行时变修正的CLS+AR模型在极移预测中的应用[J]. 武汉大学学报(信息科学版). 2012(03)

Catalog

    Article views (1031) PDF downloads (347) Cited by()
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return