Prediction of LOD Change Based on the LS and AR Model with Edge Effect Corrected
-
Graphical Abstract
-
Abstract
Aiming to resolve the edge effect in the process of predicting length of day(LOD) by the least squares and autoregressive(LS+AR) model,we employed a time series analysis model to extrapolate LOD series and produce a new series.Then,we used the new series to solve the coefficients for the LS model.At last,we used the LS+AR model to predict the LOD series again.By comparing the accuracy of LOD prediction by edge-effect corrected LS+AR and that by LS+AR,we conclude that edge-effect corrected LS+AR can improve the prediction accuracy,especially for medium-term and long-term predictions.
-
-