湖泊水质预测模型的建立及其应用

基金项目: 测绘遥感信息工程国家重点实验室开放研究基金资助项目,编号W KL(95) 101。

详细信息

Establishment and Application of Water Quality Forecasting Model of Lake

摘要: 根据东湖多年监测数据分析,建立了多元相关预测模型、基于灰色理论灰色系统的预测模型和质量平衡模型。为了提高灰色预测精度,利用残差对模型进行了相应的修正,并利用3种模型对影响东湖水质主要因子——经济、人口、BOD、COD、TN、TP进行了2000年的预测,提出了东湖污染防治对策。
- 预测 /
- 多元回归 /
- 灰色模型 /
- 质量平衡
Abstract: In this paper,forecasting models,such as multivariate regression model,grey model and mass balance model have been established on the basis of analysis of monitoring data for East Lake,Wuhan City.In order to improve precision,the grey model has been revised by using residual error equation.The population, economy,BOD,COD,TN,TP about 2000 have been forecasted with these models.The proposals of administering for East Lake have been advanced.
- forecasting /
- multivariate regression /
- grey model /
- mass balance