灰色预测用于大坝水平变形预测的研究

Research of Grey Forecast on Dam Level Displacement

  • 摘要: 针对大坝变形数据处理中使用少数据观测值进行预测的问题,对大坝水平位移值应用灰色预测作了较好的预测,对GM模型的初始值解算作了全新的研究。经对大量不同的实例数据计算取得了较好的拟合和预测精度,从而表明灰色预测对大坝变形分析是一种适用的数据处理方法。

     

    Abstract: In this thesis,the grey system theory applied to the analysis of dam deformation forecast is systematically discussed.The dam deformation is accurately predicted and the inital solution to model GM is thoroughly studied.Through the calculations of many different samples data,a good fit and a relatively high predicting precision were obtained.It is proved to be a new data processing method to use the grey system theory in the analysis of dam deformation.

     

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