我国1978~2004年生态足迹需求与供给动态分析

Dynamic Analysis on China's Ecological Footprint Supply and Demand from 1978 to 2004

  • 摘要: 基于生态足迹理论,用实证方法进行了我国可持续发展的定量测算与分析。在静点测算基础上,对我国20多年来的生态足迹供给与需求进行了动态测算与分析。通过Eviews软件分析了生态足迹与GDP、POP(人口)的线性关系。利用分析结果和变量之间的估计方程可以判断我国可持续发展状况,并预测未来走势。

     

    Abstract: On the basis of the theory of ecological footprint, China's ecological footprint in main years from 1978 to 2004 is analyzed.Depending on the long-term data,the curve of the general demand and supply of ecological footprint is depicted,and the trend of the long-term ecological footprint is observed to judge whether it was in equilibrium.The result is that ecological deficit has been increasing in the long-term.And in the end the ecological consistency of China is analyzed using econometric model.

     

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