汶川大震前扰动异常的震源区定位探索

Epicentre-Source Area from Disturbance Abnormity Before Wenchuan Earthquake

  • 摘要: 利用2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震发生前,震区及周围数百km范围内青海、四川地区定点前兆观测获得的、类似前驱波特征的扰动异常,根据其异常分量、幅度、出现时间、空间位置与所处构造断裂展布等信息,构建“源兆信号”传播函数,借助拟牛顿最小二乘法反演可能的“未来震源区”。所得模拟震源位于龙门山断裂北段,距实际震中约134km,传播起始时间为震前近13h。

     

    Abstract: We use disturbance abnormity with features of precursor wave from pointing-precursor observation of epicenter area and nearby within hundreds kilometers in Qinghai-Sichuan area before the Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake on May 12,2008 to search possible epicenter-source area.According to its abnormity vector,extent,time,space-location and the distribution characteristics of tectonic fracture,aided by construction of source-spreading function and inversion of quasi-Newton least square method.Computed epicenter-source is located on the northern segment of Longmenshan fracture,about 134 km away from real epicenter,occurred nearly 13 hours before this earthquake.

     

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