福建龙岩市2024年“6·16”特大暴雨诱发滑坡发育特征及其调控因子分析

Developmental Characteristics and Controlling Factors of Landslides Triggered by Extreme Rainfalls on 16 June 2024 in Longyan, Fujian Province

  • 摘要: 2024-06-16,福建省龙岩市发生特大暴雨事件,24 h降雨量达到历史极值377.3 mm,诱发了大量的滑坡,造成了多地居民房屋损毁、道路中断,引起了社会的广泛关注。及时获取降雨诱发滑坡编目、发育分布规律及主要调控因子对灾后的应急救援决策和恢复重建至关重要。利用灾区的光学卫星遥感影像和数字高程模型,使用ResU-Net模型对龙岩市特大暴雨诱发滑坡进行了快速智能识别与人工检核,进一步结合地形、地貌和人类活动因素分析了此次事件诱发滑坡的空间分布,此外,使用参数最优地理探测器定量揭示了降雨型滑坡的主要调控因子和双调控因子之间的交互作用。结果表明,此次特大暴雨事件至少诱发滑坡3 951处,总面积约21.30 km²。主要以小型滑坡为主,上杭县和武平县诱发滑坡尤为严重,群发性明显。空间分析结果表明,44%的滑坡主要分布在高程200~300 m范围内,且随着距道路和距河流的距离越近,滑坡越集中。此次事件诱发滑坡的主要调控因子为海拔、距道路距离和距河流距离。不同调控因子的综合作用均增强了对降雨型滑坡的调控,其中海拔与土地利用的交互作用最强。该研究成果可为灾后应急救援决策、灾后重建和次生灾害风险隐患评估提供重要的数据支撑。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives On 16 June 2024, Longyan City in Fujian Province, Eastern China experienced exceptionally heavy rainfalls, setting a 24 h record of 377.3 mm. The extreme rainfalls triggered numerous landslides, causing widespread damage to residential homes and disrupting transportation in several areas, which attracted significant public attention. Timely acquisition of landslide inventories, along with a detailed understanding of their spatial distribution and controlling factors, is crucial for informing post-disaster emergency response and recovery efforts.
    Methods Satellite optical remote sensing imagery and digital elevation model in the affected region were used in conjunction with the ResU-Net model to rapidly and accurately identify the landslides triggered by the extreme rainfalls. A spatial analysis of the landslide distribution was conducted by integrating factors such as topography, geomorphology, and human activities. Additionally, an optimal parameters-based geographical detector model was employed to quantitatively analyze the primary controlling factors behind the landslides and the interaction effects between dual controlling factors.
    Results The extreme rainfall event triggered at least 3 951 landslides, covering a total area of approximately 21.30 km². Most landslides were small in scale, with Shanghang and Wuping counties being the most severely affected, showing a clustered spatial distribution. The spatial analysis revealed that 44% of the landslides occurred at elevations between 200-300 m, with landslide frequency increasing as the distance to roads and rivers decreased. Elevation, distance to roads, and distance to rivers were identified as the primary controlling factors for the landslides. Interaction effects between controlling factors were found to enhance landslide occurrence, with the interaction between elevation and land cover being particularly significant.
    Conclusions This study provides a comprehensive inventory of landslides triggered by the extreme rainfall event in Longyan City, and identifies the primary controlling factors and spatial distribution patterns. The findings provide essential data for post-disaster emergency response, reconstruction planning, and risk assessment of potential secondary disasters.

     

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