甘肃积石山Ms 6.2地震对滑坡形变及近地空间环境影响分析

赵庆志, 王鹏程, 姚宜斌, 高余婷, 吴侃, 李祖锋, 缪志选, 刘晨, 王卫, 孙婷婷, 常璐璐, 马智

赵庆志, 王鹏程, 姚宜斌, 高余婷, 吴侃, 李祖锋, 缪志选, 刘晨, 王卫, 孙婷婷, 常璐璐, 马智. 甘肃积石山Ms 6.2地震对滑坡形变及近地空间环境影响分析[J]. 武汉大学学报 ( 信息科学版), 2025, 50(2): 247-256. DOI: 10.13203/j.whugis20240080
引用本文: 赵庆志, 王鹏程, 姚宜斌, 高余婷, 吴侃, 李祖锋, 缪志选, 刘晨, 王卫, 孙婷婷, 常璐璐, 马智. 甘肃积石山Ms 6.2地震对滑坡形变及近地空间环境影响分析[J]. 武汉大学学报 ( 信息科学版), 2025, 50(2): 247-256. DOI: 10.13203/j.whugis20240080
ZHAO Qingzhi, WANG Pengcheng, YAO Yibin, GAO Yuting, WU Kan, LI Zufeng, MIAO Zhixuan, LIU Chen, WANG Wei, SUN Tingting, CHANG Lulu, MA Zhi. Impact Analysis of the Ms 6.2 Earthquake on Landslide Deformation and Near-Earth Space Environment in Jishishan, Gansu Province[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2025, 50(2): 247-256. DOI: 10.13203/j.whugis20240080
Citation: ZHAO Qingzhi, WANG Pengcheng, YAO Yibin, GAO Yuting, WU Kan, LI Zufeng, MIAO Zhixuan, LIU Chen, WANG Wei, SUN Tingting, CHANG Lulu, MA Zhi. Impact Analysis of the Ms 6.2 Earthquake on Landslide Deformation and Near-Earth Space Environment in Jishishan, Gansu Province[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2025, 50(2): 247-256. DOI: 10.13203/j.whugis20240080

甘肃积石山Ms 6.2地震对滑坡形变及近地空间环境影响分析

基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金 42274039

国家自然科学基金 41904036

国家自然科学基金 42330105

国家自然科学基金 42204034

天津市轨道交通导航定位及时空大数据技术重点实验室开放课题基金 TKL2024B03

详细信息
    作者简介:

    赵庆志,博士,副教授,主要从事GNSS导航定位与空间环境气候变化相关研究。zhaoqingzhia@163.com

    通讯作者:

    姚宜斌,博士,教授。ybyao@whu.edu.cn

Impact Analysis of the Ms 6.2 Earthquake on Landslide Deformation and Near-Earth Space Environment in Jishishan, Gansu Province

  • 摘要:

    2023⁃12⁃18甘肃省临夏回族自治州积石山发生Ms 6.2地震,为减少地震及其次生灾害对人民生命财产造成的损失,研究震后滑坡及近地空间环境变化对地震次生灾害的防治具有重要意义。采集距离震源中心51 km左右的滑坡、大坝以及基准站的全球导航卫星系统原始观测数据进行精密单点定位解算,通过统计站点位移、天顶对流层延迟(zenith tropospheric delay,ZTD)和大气可降水量的变化情况,分析了地震对滑坡作用及近地空间环境的影响。实验结果表明,本次地震并未对该处滑坡造成瞬时破坏,但地震会破坏滑坡稳定性,在地震后一天部分滑坡点位缓慢位移高达10 mm以上;此外,在地震后天顶对流层延迟呈现出异常增高的变化趋势;对影响其异常变化的原因进行分析,发现气压变化对震后ZTD变化有一定影响,但其主要是由于水汽异常变化所导致,证明了地震会导致震区水汽异常增大。该研究为后续地震所引发滑坡变形和空间环境变化等相关研究提供参考。

    Abstract:
    Objectives 

    An Ms 6.2 earthquake that struck Jishishan, Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Gansu Provinve on 18 December 2023 is highly prone to causing landslides and other disasters. In order to reduce the damage caused by the earthquake and its secondary disasters to people's lives and properties, it is necessary to monitor the landslide area and its near-earth spatial environment as soon as possible.

    Methods 

    The raw global navigation satellite system observation data of the landslide, the dam and the re⁃ference station, which are about 51 km away from the epicentre of the earthquake, are collected for precise point positioning solving, and the site displacements are counted. The effects of the earthquake on the landslide and the near-earth spatial environment were studied and analyzed by counting the changes in zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) and precipitable water vapor (PWV).

    Results 

    The experimental results show that the earthquake did not cause transient damage to the landslide, but the earthquake will damage the stability of the landslide, in the day after the earthquake part of the landslide site slow displacement of up to 10 mm or more. In addition, the zenith tropospheric delay after the earthquake showed anomalous increase in the trend of change, which is mainly due to the water vapour anomalous changes.

    Conclusions 

    The vicinity of this landslide, stations HP03 and HP04, requires timely and focused surveys to assess the potential for hazard. Long-term monitoring of other landslide sites is also required to keep abreast of the risk of landslide hazards. Since this earthquake occurred in winter, the climate is dry and the PWV value is small, there is a lack of rainfall conditions, although the ZTD and PWV changed abnormally, it will not lead to abnormal rainfall in the earthquake area, which is conducive to the rescue work after the earthquake.

  • 感谢中国地震台网提供相关地震信息,以及ECMWF提供的气象参数。
    http://ch.whu.edu.cn/cn/article/doi/10.13203/j.whugis20240080
  • 图  1   滑坡/大坝监测站点地理分布图

    Figure  1.   Geographical Distribution of Landslide/DamMonitoring Sites

    图  2   2023⁃12⁃18 6个站点E、N、U方向位移变化时序图

    Figure  2.   Temporal Diagram of E, N, and U Displacement Changes of the Six Stations on December 18, 2023

    图  3   2023年12月17日-19日6个站点E、N、U方向位移变化偏差绝对值

    Figure  3.   Absolute Deviation of Displacement in E, N, and U Directions of Six Stations from December 17 to 19, 2023

    图  4   2023年12月15日-21日6个站点ZTD时序变化图

    Figure  4.   ZTD Time Series of Six Sites from December 15 to 21, 2023

    图  5   2023年12月17日-19日滑坡区域内平均气温、气压时序变化图

    Figure  5.   Temporal Variation of Mean Air Temperature and Pressure in the Landslide Area from December 17 to 19, 2023

    图  6   2023年12月15日-21日6个站点GNSS PWV与ERA5 PWV之间残差的偏差绝对值、MR

    Figure  6.   Absolute Bias, M, and R of the Residuals Between GNSS PWV and ERA5 PWV at Six Stationsfrom December 15 to 21, 2023

    图  7   2023年12月15日-21日6个站点PWV时序变化图

    Figure  7.   Time Series of PWV at Six Stations from December 15 to 21, 2023

    表  1   2023年12月17日—19日16个站点在E、N、U方向的累积位移变化统计表

    Table  1   Statistics of Cumulative Displacement Changes of 16 Stations in the E, N, and U Directions onDecember 17 to 19, 2023

    站点名dE/mmdN/mmdU/mm
    17日18日19日17日18日19日17日18日19日
    DB01-0.071.34.50.0521.8-5.71-23.2
    DB02-0.081.22.20.098-0.05-2.8-0.470.171
    DB03-2.91.64.30.048-6.2-14.51.34.911.6
    DB04-2.1-0.313.3-1.5-2.4-321.51.4
    DB05-1.1-0.193.32.1-0.26-4.5-0.750.892.1
    DB06-2.31.80.940.140.31-2.51.10.490.75
    DB07-1.81.20.730.561.2-1.80.47-1.10.42
    JZ01-21.32.90.292.2-1.61.2-0.68-0.1
    JZ02-1.61.62.41.32.6-1.1-0.19-1.5-0.55
    JZ03-3-0.072.60.842.3-2.30.97-1.41.6
    HP01-2.2-14.70.615.2-9.11.1-3.47.4
    HP02-1.6-0.434.51.3-3.8-0.36-0.324.8-0.84
    HP038.62.1-1.5-8-4.815.97.49.9-22.8
    HP04-3.1-9.914.61.5-0.21-5.31.14.72
    HP05-2.51.9-0.824.613.9-8.2-0.6-13.26.5
    HP06-2.3-1.94.25.38.8-9.7-3.3-8.68.3
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  • 收稿日期:  2024-03-09
  • 网络出版日期:  2024-05-31
  • 刊出日期:  2025-02-04

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