一种基于GRACE重力卫星的陆地水储量变化组合新模型

A New Combined Terrestrial Water Storage Change Model Based on GRACE Satellite Gravimetry

  • 摘要: 利用重力卫星监测全球水储量变化,有助于应对全球气候变化、防灾减灾等挑战,具有重要的科学意义。国际上已发布了多个系列的重力恢复和气候实验(gravity recovery and climate experiment,GRACE)时变重力场模型,但是不同机构提供的模型之间存在差异,而且精度参差不齐。研究基于不同卫星重力场模型的陆地水储量变化(terrestrial water storage change, TWSC)组合新方法,有利于扬长避短,进一步提高TWSC的估计精度。采用方差分量估计、熵权法和变异系数法,针对5种GRACE时变重力场反演获得的TWSC开展组合研究。结果表明,3种TWSC组合新模型都能够显著减小不同时变重力场反演的TWSC之间的差异,而且信噪比与美国喷气动力实验室模型相比提高了约58%。组合前后全球TWSC趋势最大差异由0.011 cm/月下降到0.001 cm/月,最大水振幅差异由0.95 cm/月减小为0.21 cm/月,1°×1°空间分辨率下TWSC随经纬度方向变化的标准差差异同样由超过20 cm2降低到3 cm2以下。组合模型与水文模型的相关性较独立模型最高提升了约50%,由此证实了组合方法可以有效地抑制噪声,显著提高TWSC结果的精度,是一种稳定可靠的高精度时变重力场应用新模式,可以为陆地水储量反演等应用研究提供更可靠的数据支撑。

     

    Abstract:
      Objectives  Satellite gravity field data can be used to monitor global terrestrial water storage changes and address common challenges such as climate change, disaster prevention and mitigation, etc. Several time-variable gravity models derived from gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) mission have been released internationally. However, there are differences between those models provided by different institutions, and the accuracies are also uneven. The combination of terrestrial water storage change (TWSC) based on different satellite gravity field products would help to maximize the strengths and avoid weaknesses, so as to improve the accuracy of TWSC.
      Methods  Variance component estimation, entropy weight method (EWM) and coefficient of variation method are used to carry out the combination analysis on TWSC inverted from five GRACE satellite gravity field models.
      Results  The results show that all the three combined TWSC models can significantly reduce the discrepancies between time-variable gravity field inverted TWSC, and the signal-to-noise ratio has been improved by about 58% compared to Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) model. The maximum difference in global TWSC trends before and after combination decreases from 0.011 cm/month to 0.001 cm/month, while the maximum amplitude difference decreases from 0.95 cm/month to 0.21 cm/month. At a spatial resolution of 1° × 1°, the difference in standard deviation of TWSC at latitude and longitude directions decreases from over 20 cm2 to less than 3 cm2. The correlation between the EWM combined TWSC model and hydrological model also improves by up to about 50% compared with that between the JPL independent model and hydrological model.
      Conclusions  The combined method can effectively suppress noise and significantly improve the accuracy of TWSC results, hence can perform as a new mode for high-precision time-variable gravity field applications to provide more reliable data support for terrestrial water storage inversions.

     

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