多源地表温度估算近地表气温的精度对比

Accuracy Comparison of Near Surface Air Temperature Estimation Using Different Land Surface Temperature Sources

  • 摘要: 气象站点稀疏会导致观测到的近地表气温空间不连续,基于地表温度数据结合辅助变量估算气温成为获取气温空间分布的有效方式。目前,已有多种地表温度产品,但鲜有研究评估多源地表温度数据在估算气温时的精度及其适用性。针对该问题,首先,利用Google Earth Engine平台和随机森林算法,基于Landsat、中分辨率成像光谱仪(moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer,MODIS)、全球陆面数据同化系统(global land data assimilation system,GLDAS)3种地表温度数据源估算了黄河流域近地表气温的最大值、最小值和平均值;然后,结合站点观测分析了多源地表温度估算气温的精度及适用性。结果表明,3种地表温度数据源估算夏季气温平均值时精度差异较小;对于气温极值估算,GLDAS数据显著优于MODIS和Landsat数据;每种数据源估算气温极值的精度低于其估算气温均值;此外,地表温度的时间分辨率会显著影响近地表气温的估算精度。该成果可以为长时序气温产品估算提供科学参考。

     

    Abstract:
      Objectives  Near surface air temperature (NSAT) is a key parameter in the land-atmosphere interaction process. Sparse NSAT observations from in-situ stations usually cannot fully describe the spatial distribution of NSAT, so estimating NSAT by land surface temperature (LST) and auxiliary variables has become an effective approach to obtain the spatial distribution of NSAT. Although there are some multi-source LST products published, the LST from moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer(MODIS), Landsat, and global land data assimilation system (GLDAS), the applicability of each LST product in NSAT estimation still needs further investigation.
      Methods  Taken the Yellow River Basin Region as the study area, summer NSAT from 2003 to 2019 was estimated based on the Google Earth Engine platform with random forest algorithm in this study, and the mean, maximum and minimum NSAT was estimated in two scales (30 m and 1 000 m) using three LST data sources (Landsat, MODIS and GLDAS). The observed LST from in-situ stations over the Yellow River Basin Region were compared with the estimated NSAT by the ten-cross validation method to evaluate the accuracy of different LST sources when estimating NSAT.
      Results and Conclusions  The results indicate that the differences of accuracy of the three LST sources are small in terms of mean NSAT. In terms of the maximum and minimum NSAT, the GLDAS LST shows the significant higher accuracy than MODIS and Landsat LST. The root mean squared error of estimated mean NSAT are smaller than maximum and minimum NSAT estimation when using the same LST source. For the spatial distribution of accuracy, the stations with higher error mainly located in the southern or western of the study region. The temporal resolution of LST source is significantly important in NSAT estimation. The GLDAS LST shows the highest accuracy in this study especially for extreme NSAT estimation. Besides, the mean NSAT estimation has higher accuracy than that of maximum or minimum NSAT for each LST source.

     

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