ICESat-2高程信息辅助下的北极冰区航线规划

Route Planning in the Arctic Ice Region Assisted by ICESat-2 Elevation Information

  • 摘要: 为了实现北极航道重点区域海冰冰情的精准监测,高分辨率的海冰厚度信息必不可少,而目前普遍存在的千米级分辨率的海冰厚度数据无法满足该需求。针对以上问题,借助冰、云和陆地高程卫星(ice, cloud, and land elevation satellite-2,ICESat-2)测高数据沿轨间隔密集的优势,尝试建立ICESat-2 ATL10海冰干舷产品和哨兵2号(Sentinel-2)高分辨率影像反照率之间的回归模型。利用此模型获取密集分布的海冰干舷信息,通过静力平衡方程模型得到高分辨率的海冰厚度,结合基于Sentinel-2影像获取的高分辨率海冰密集度,对船舶进行北极航道小尺度区域下的适航性分析并规划最优航线。研究表明,ATL10海冰干舷值和Sentinel-2反照率拟合得到的回归模型具有较好的拟合精度,R2均高于0.5,平均偏差均小于0.05 m,均方根误差均小于0.2 m。此外,高分辨率海冰参数信息对真实冰情细节之处的描述更加准确,尤其是在低分辨率海冰参数结果中较难体现浮冰间细小冰间水道的分布情况,因此所提高分辨率海冰参数反演方法可以为冰区船舶规划出更加精确的航行路线。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives To achieve the accurate monitoring of sea ice conditions in the key area of Arctic passage, high resolution sea ice thickness is essential. However, sea ice thickness with kilometer-scale resolution cannot meet the requirement at present.
    Methods Considering the relationship between sea ice thickness and image albedo,this paper tried to establish a regression model between the ICESat-2 ATL10 sea ice freeboard product and the high resolution Sentinel-2 optical image albedo by taking advantage of the intensive altimetry data of ICESat-2 along the orbit to obtain dense sea ice freeboard. Based on high resolution sea ice thickness calculated from dense freeboard with the hydrostatic equilibrium model and combined with high resolution sea ice concentration derived from Sentinel-2 image, we classified ice areas into different navigational categories according to the ice-break capability of ship and compared optimal route design at multiple spatial scales.
    Results Regression models established from the ATL10 sea ice freeboard and the Sentinel-2 image albedo have good fitting accuracy. The R2 of the regression model is higher than 0.5, the average deviation is less than 0.05 m, and the root mean square error of the accuracy validation is less than 0.2 m. High resolution sea ice parameters derived by the proposed method can describe the distribution of fine leads between floating ice which are difficult to be captured by low resolution sea ice parameters.
    Conclusions High resolution sea ice parameters can describe the details of sea ice conditions more accurately. Therefore, the proposed high resolution inversion method of sea ice parameters can improve the capability of navigation planning for ships in Arctic passage, further improving the navigation safety.

     

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