近40 a昆仑山口37号冰川冰舌滑塌多源遥感监测与分析

Monitoring and Analyzing Collapse of KLSK-37 Glacier Tongue in Recent 40 Years with Multi-source Remote Sensing

  • 摘要: 针对昆仑山口37号冰川(简称KLSK-37)冰舌前缘滑塌对青藏铁路和青藏公路的潜在威胁,基于Hexagon KH-9历史卫星影像、多源数字高程模型(digital elevation model, DEM)以及谷歌地球(Google Earth,GE)高分辨光学影像,首次揭示了该冰川近40 a来的末端边界和表面高程演化特征。结果显示,1979―2010年KLSK-37冰川冰舌前进速度为(5±1.8)m/a,但是近10 a来前进速度加快,2015―2018年前进速度达(30±4.2)m/a。DEM差分结果估计得到1979―2000年、2000―2011年和2011―2018年共3个时间段内冰舌前缘堆积体增加的体积分别为(2.87±1.78)×105、(5.03±1.22)×105、(2.74±1.25)×105 m3,近40 a增加的总堆积体积为(10.64±2.50)×105 m3。综合分析KLSK-37冰川作用区的地形和研究区气候资料,发现冰川末端的阶坎状地形和表碛区冰面湖的发育是其冰舌堆积体处于强烈活动状态的主要原因,而昆仑山口气候近数十年暖湿化加剧趋势可能是其冰舌区不断滑塌的长期驱动因素。

     

    Abstract:
      Objectives  With a background of global warming, alpine glacier-related geological disasters pose a severe threat to engineering facilities and the safety of human life and property in mountainous areas. Characterizing the spatiotemporal evolutions of the dynamics of glaciers is essential for hazard assessment and mitigation. The KLSK-37 valley glacier, located in the East Kunlun Mountain in Tibetan Plateau, exhibits a steep tongue and extensive crevasses on the glacier surface. These features raise the concerns of whether the glacier would collapse in the future and threaten the safety of the Qinghai-Tibet railway and Qinghai-Tibet highway, which are only about 3 km away the glacier terminus.
      Methods  We collected Hexagon KH-9 historical satellite images, multi-source digital elevation model (DEM), and the high-resolution satellite images from the Google Earth (GE) to characterize the evolutions of the glacier terminus and surface elevation in recent 40 years for the first time.
      Results  The multi-source remote sensing observations show that the KLSK-37 glacier tongue's ice-debris leads a slow-surge pattern in recent 40 years. Satellite GE images show a lateral glacier lake is formed when the glacier tongue moves forward and blocks the meltwater channel. Paraglacial ponds with exposed ice cliffs can also be observed in the middle and lower part of the glacier tongue. The KLSK-37 glacier tongue advanced at a velocity of (5±1.8) m/a between 1979 and 2010, and the flow speed accelerated to (30±4.2) m/a between 2015 and 2018. The increased volume of materials in the tongue region from DEM differencing for the three periods 1979―2000, 2000―2011, and 2011―2018 are (2.87±1.78)×105, (5.03±1.22)×105, and (2.74±1.25)×105 m3, respectively, with a total increased volume of (10.64±2.50)×105 m3.
      Conclusions  From a combined analysis of the topographic and climate data, we found that the step-like terrain in the front of the glacier and supraglacial lake development may play an important role in keeping the glacier tongue significantly active. The tendency of warmer and more humid of climate in the East Kunlun region in recent decades is likely the driving factor for the progressive collapse of the KLSK-37 glacier tongue. We highlight that further continuous monitoring of the KLSK-37 glacier, coupled with numerical modeling, is required to assessment its hazardous influence and ensure the operation safeties of Qinghai-Tibet Railway and Qinghai-Tibet Highway.

     

/

返回文章
返回