2025年阿合奇Mw 5.8地震的同震破裂特征及其与2024年乌什Mw 7.0地震的关联

Co-seismic Rupture Characteristics of the 2025 Mw 5.8 Akqi Earthquake and Its Relationship with the 2024 Mw 7.0 Wushi Event

  • 摘要: 北京时间2025年12月4日,新疆克孜勒苏州阿合奇县发生Mw5.8地震,震中距2024年乌什Mw7.0地震约24km,其震源破裂特征及与前期强震之间的构造与应力关系尚不明确。本文利用三对Sentinel-1升、降轨InSAR数据获取了此次地震的同震形变场,最大视线向位移约为6 cm。基于InSAR观测数据,采用弹性半空间矩形位错模型对震源参数进行了反演。结果表明,阿合奇地震发震断层走向约为272°、倾角约为50°,为以逆冲为主、兼具走滑分量的斜逆冲型破裂,破裂主要集中在6–9 km深度范围内,未延伸至地表,属于盲破裂地震事件。与2024年乌什地震震源机制对比,两次地震在空间位置及断裂体系上具有一致性。库仑应力分析结果显示,阿合奇地震位于乌什地震同震应力变化形成的正库仑应力区,表明其发生可能受到前期强震的应力触发作用。

     

    Abstract: Objectives: On December 4th, 2025, a Mw 5.8 earthquake occurred in Akqi County, Kizilsu Prefecture, Xinjiang, located approximately 24 km from the 2024 Mw 7.0 Wushi earthquake. The focal rupture characteristics of this event, as well as its structural and stress relationships with the previous major earthquake, remain unclear. The aims are to derive the coseismic deformation field, invert the source parameters, and clarify the focal mechanism, fault geometry, and potential stress interactions between these two seismic events. Methods: Three pairs of Sentinel-1 ascending and descending InSAR data were employed to determine the coseismic deformation field of the Akqi earthquake, revealing a maximum line-of-sight displacement of approximately 6 cm. Based on the InSAR observations, the earthquake source parameters were inverted using an elastic half-space rectangular fault model. A comparative analysis with the source mechanism of the 2024 Wushi earthquake was also conducted, and Coulomb stress analysis was performed to assess stress interactions between the two events. The Bayesian inversion method was applied to effectively address uncertainties in fault geometry and source parameter determination. Results: The fault plane of the Akqi earthquake strikes around 272° and dips approximately 50°, representing an oblique thrust fault dominated by reverse motion with a minor strike-slip component. The rupture was mainly concentrated at depths of 6–9 km and did not reach the surface, classifying it as a blind thrust rupture event. Comparative analysis with the 2024 Wushi earthquake indicates consistency in spatial distribution and fault system characteristics. Coulomb stress analysis suggests that the Akqi earthquake occurred within a stress zone influenced by coseismic stress changes from the Wushi earthquake, supporting a possible stress-triggered relationship. The Bayesian inversion approach effectively constrained fault geometry and slip distribution, demonstrating strong adaptability in handling complex fault systems. Conclusions: The 2025 Akqi Mw 5.8 earthquake is identified as a blind thrust event exhibiting oblique-reverse faulting characteristics. It shows notable consistency with the 2024 Wushi earthquake in spatial distribution and fault system attributes, while Coulomb stress analysis further indicates stress interaction between the two events. These findings provide insights into seismogenic mechanisms and stress transfer processes within the southern Tianshan seismic belt, contributing to improved seismic hazard assessment and offering references for understanding earthquake triggering and fault system dynamics in tectonically active regions.

     

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