大语言模型分析视角下地质灾害监测预警研究态势分析

Research Trends in Geohazard Monitoring and Early Warning: A Large Language Model Perspective

  • 摘要: 在地质灾害监测预警向多学科深度融合背景下,传统文献计量难以揭示技术要素间的内在逻辑与演进规律。本研究提出基于大语言模型与结构化提示工程的自动化知识发现方法。通过构建涵盖灾害类型、监测技术、算法模型等六维本体框架,对242篇核心文献实现高精度知识抽取并构建领域知识图谱。拓扑分析揭示了技术内在逻辑:学界已形成以滑坡为核心,利用InSAR(Interferometric synthetic aperture radar)获取数据并结合LSTM(Long Short Term Memory)进行时序插值与趋势推演的感知主链。该组合旨在解决卫星非连续监测与灾害连续演化间的时空分辨率矛盾。在此基础上,灾害机理差异驱动技术分化:针对土质滑坡、地面沉降等塑性破坏灾害,聚焦长时序地表形变监测;对崩塌、岩质滑坡等脆性破坏灾害,重心转向利用微震、声发射捕捉内部破裂前兆。着眼未来,监测体系正加速向“空-天-地-深”一体化多源融合跨越,算法模型正经历向物理机理与数据驱动融合的混合智能转变,以提升预警可解释性与鲁棒性。这些发现效阐明了这一学科领域的知识结构与发展轨迹,为后续战略规划提供了一些参考。

     

    Abstract: Objectives: The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence, remote sensing, and IoT-based electronic information technologies has driven multidisciplinary integration in geological disaster monitoring and early warning. Traditional review methods are inadequate for systematically assessing the developmental trends of this field. This work aims to introduce a novel knowledge discovery approach using large language models and structured prompt engineering to comprehensively analyze the knowledge structure, technological paradigms, and evolutionary trends in this domain. Methods: A six-dimensional analytical framework—encompassing disaster types, monitoring technologies, equipment, early warning systems, monitoring data, and algorithmic models—was developed leveraging LLMs. This framework was applied to analyze 242 core publications from 2023 to 2025, extracting key knowledge entities and relationships to construct a comprehensive knowledge graph. Results: The topological analysis reveals a dominant “Landslide-InSAR-LSTM” technological chain, which effectively bridges the gap between discontinuous satellite observations and continuous disaster evolution. Crucially, a divergence in monitoring strategies is identified: research on plastic failures prioritizes long-term surface deformation monitoring, while brittle failures focus on capturing internal rupture signals via microseismic and acoustic emission techniques. Future trends indicate a shift toward “air-space-ground-deep” multi-source integration and hybrid intelligent models that combine physical mechanisms with data-driven algorithms. Conclusions: The proposed analytical model effectively elucidates the knowledge structure and developmental trajectories of this interdisciplinary field, providing a robust scientific foundation for strategic technological roadmapping. Additionally, this approach offers a generalizable methodology for automated knowledge discovery in complex domains.

     

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